MOSCOW / RankWire.AI / – Russia has outlined a plan to increase its yearly vehicle manufacturing to approximately 2.8 million units by 2035, as part of its revised automotive industry roadmap. First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov revealed this goal on August 31 during a sector development discussion. The projection encompasses vehicles intended for Russia’s home market as well as exports. Additionally, the plan aims for 80% of new vehicles in the country to be produced domestically by 2035.
On August 24, the Russian government approved an updated automotive strategy extending its industry framework until 2035. As of the end of 2025, Russia’s vehicle production capacity was roughly 3.3 million units annually, though actual output that year was close to 800,000 vehicles. During 2024 and 2025, capacity utilization averaged 25% for passenger cars and 41% for light commercial vehicles, with trucks reaching 35% and buses 43%.
The planned target scenario estimates production at 2.5 million passenger cars and approximately 170,000 light commercial vehicles by 2035. It also calls for 110,000 trucks and 30,000 buses. The plan assigns passenger-car manufacturing to four or five vehicle platforms, while light commercial vehicles would be produced on one or two platforms. The overall new-vehicle market is projected to reach about 3.2 million units in 2035, with imports potentially making up to 20% of that total.
All vehicle segments included in production targets
A secondary scenario offers more conservative estimates, projecting a lower production volume and market size. Under this scenario, annual vehicle output in 2035 would be approximately 1.69 million units, and the new-vehicle market would total about 2.2 million units that year. For 2030, the target scenario anticipates roughly 2.4 million units in the market, while the baseline plan estimates about 2 million vehicles across all segments by that year.
A significant component of the revised strategy involves setting targets for powertrain technology and innovation. It envisions internal-combustion vehicles accounting for 67% to 83% of production in 2035, depending on the vehicle segment. Meanwhile, electric and hybrid passenger cars are expected to constitute at least 25% of Russia’s new passenger-car market by that time. The plan also aims to produce roughly 150,000 highly automated vehicles with Level 4 autonomy or higher in 2035, with driver-assistance systems and digital vehicle technologies also emphasized.
Capacity utilization and localization goals remain key priorities
Russia’s current manufacturing capacity significantly exceeds its recent annual production figures. As of 2025, passenger-car capacity was approximately 2.8 million units, though actual output was around 700,000. Light commercial vehicle capacity reached about 300,000 units, with production near 80,000. Truck capacity stood at roughly 130,000 units, and bus capacity was close to 30,000. Electric powertrain production totaled around 4,400 vehicles in 2025, up slightly from 4,200 in 2024.
The strategy emphasizes expanding the use of standardized components and technologies across vehicle platforms through 2035. It also establishes more aggressive localization and technological independence goals for domestically produced vehicles. The framework covers passenger cars, commercial vehicles, trucks, buses, powertrains, autonomous driving systems, and digital vehicle technologies. Its target scenario combines the 2.8 million annual production goal with the objective of 80% domestic market share. An implementation plan will be developed as part of the order approving the updated strategy.